Indeed, Hei Hudie's (Black Butterfly) chances of winning were already slim.

In this game of Neurasthenia, the advantage in memory is the most direct, and in this regard... Hei Hudie could not compare to Feng Bujue.

However, there was one other factor that could influence the outcome: luck.

In the previous round, although Feng Bujue scored a whopping 24 points, as he himself had said, such a score was not too exaggerated from a probabilistic point of view, given his "absolute memory."

Aside from the inevitable 9 points, the remaining points could be seen as a case of "five successes in six card flips with gradually decreasing probability," and this "gradually decreasing probability" had dropped from about 20% to 7% before stopping.

From this perspective, what he had done in this round... should be categorized as "pretty good luck."

There was nothing special about it, so this was not "gambling," just a "game," a game that Jue-ge (Brother Jue) considered "boring."

In addition, when this round ended, his seemingly "good" luck had actually changed direction...

Because the last three cards Feng Bujue flipped were all cards "with one suit already revealed"; in other words, when he finally handed over the right to flip cards, the number of "two-suit known cards" on the table increased from three pairs to six pairs.

Plus, the number of unknown cards on the table had decreased... When the opponent now flipped an unknown card, the probability of flipping a score-able card had once again risen to over 15%.

...

Round eleven, Hei Hudie's turn to flip cards.

After Jue-ge cleared the table, the number of remaining known cards was not high, so Hei Hudie was even more confident about the suits of those cards.

With her first move, she still followed her rhythm and flipped over a new card near a known card.

As it turned out, this was a "two-suit known" card, i.e., a "score-able card."

Hei Hudie didn't have the leisure that Feng Bujue had, the "I remember it clearly, but I can keep it and use it later" kind of leisure, she would definitely take the points whenever she had the chance to score.

Therefore, she immediately turned around to find the other two suits of the newly flipped card... and succeeded.

"The lady gets three points," the referee's announcement came immediately. "You may continue to flip cards."

Next, the situation remained...

Hei Hudie flipped another score-able card, and she quickly turned it into points.

The next move was still the same...

Just like that, Hei Hudie calmly caught up with the score, and... because of the reduced number of cards, even with only three pairs of known cards, the probability of her flipping a score-able card on the next move was higher than 7%.

"Heh... how about it?" At this moment, Hei Hudie smiled and said to Jue-ge, "It's not like I have no chance at all, right?"

"Hmph... I was mentally prepared for this kind of luck disparity before the duel even started," Feng Bujue replied calmly. "In any case... you can flip as much as you want until you reach 'that score'."

"That score?" Hei Hudie thought for two seconds when she heard this, and then replied, "Oh~ you mean... 33 points?"

Hei Hudie had undoubtedly carefully studied the game rules before the duel, so she knew that 33 points was a very crucial score.

According to the rules, after a total of "twenty-five suits" have been revealed by both sides, the player can end the game by flipping out two "Elysium" cards and entering the settlement phase.

Then, putting aside the victories or defeats with huge gaps in scores, let's take a game where both sides have a certain score as an example... Twenty-five suits can be split into twelve pairs and thirteen single suits, or eleven pairs and fourteen single suits.

In the case of twelve pairs and thirteen singles, the score ratio is 36 to 39. At this time, the lagging side flips out the Elysium card, plus an extra 10 points, 46 to 39, and can turn defeat into victory.

In the case of eleven pairs and fourteen singles, the score ratio is 33 to 42. At this time, the lagging side flips out the Elysium card, plus an extra 10 points, 43 to 42, and also turns defeat into victory.

In other words, in this game, if the side that has fallen behind wants to make a comeback, there is a prerequisite, that is, they must get at least "eleven suits," which satisfies the minimum condition for a comeback.

And the most ideal situation in theory is: in the round where twenty-four suits have been revealed on the table, it is the turn of the lagging side to flip cards. At the moment when he/she flips out the twenty-fifth suit, he/she happens to have 33 points, and then... he/she flips out the "Elysium" card and ends the game.

For the lagging side, this is the fastest and best comeback mode. If it continues to drag on... the score gap will probably gradually widen, because when there are not many unknown cards left on the table, the probability of flipping a score-able card will greatly increase, and it is not impossible to flip two "one-suit known" cards in a row. At that time, the side with the better memory and fewer mistakes will definitely have a higher scoring rate than the opponent.

"Since you know," Feng Bujue's tone still seemed very relaxed, anyway, it was right for his opponent to know the meaning of this number, there was no need to be surprised, "then please work hard in this direction."

"Heh... I will, even if you don't tell me," Hei Hudie responded, and continued to flip cards...

...

At the end of the eleventh round, the score comparison between the two sides was 24 to 30, with Hei Hudie leading.

After that conversation, Hei Hudie flipped out two more score-able cards, consuming the two-suit cards in the known cards to only one pair left.

Then, in the last three card flips... she actually flipped out two "zero-suit cards" in a row, that is, cards that did not have any known suits, and... also flipped out the second "Elysium" card.

Therefore, when this round ended, there were only two pairs of known cards left on the table, and... the locations of the two "Elysium" cards had also been clarified.

Currently, the total score of the two players is 54 points, which means that "eighteen suits" have been revealed, and the number of cards left on the table is 48; among them, there are 20 known cards, composed of 2 cards of Avici, 2 cards of Elysium, 4 cards of "both suits known," and 12 cards of "one suit known."

There are a total of 28 unknown cards, that is, 2 cards of Avici and 26 suit cards.

In other words, at the beginning of the twelfth round, the probability that Feng Bujue can flip a score-able card among the unknown cards is two out of twenty-eight, which is basically the same as the probability of his failure in the previous round, only about 7%...

Seeing this, some people will definitely say, can't he just not flip unknown cards? Flip three known cards, and then throw the same situation to the opponent?

The answer is: yes, but... it doesn't solve the problem.

According to the "flipping rules" of 【Triple Neurasthenia】, players must flip at least one unknown card in three consecutive rounds, otherwise they will be penalized five points.

The purpose of this rule is to prevent players from consuming their card flipping opportunities by constantly flipping the cards that have appeared before. As for why it is "three consecutive rounds," that is naturally because some people may make mistakes in remembering the cards, resulting in the situation of "flipping three known cards without scoring"; in this case, people who have failed to attack for two consecutive rounds will have to bear the risk of being penalized in the third round...

Combining the current example, if Feng Bujue chooses to flip three known cards in this round to consume his card flipping rights, then when it is Hei Hudie's turn, the other party can also do the same... Anyway, Hei Hudie doesn't care, as the side with weaker memory, she is happy to see both sides constantly flipping out old cards to help her consolidate her memory.

Besides, she is the "second attacker." In a situation where no one wants to flip out new cards, the second attacker at least has the advantage of "one card," because the first attacker will definitely expose one more new card than the opponent.

Of course, Feng Bujue was not the kind of person who would deliberately flip known cards to defend.

Real gamblers and scoundrels understand... that kind of approach won't win.

For example, in the game where Jue-ge tricked Jin Mian Chou (Golden Faced Melancholy) in the guessing numbers game... if he was thinking at that time, "What if I only guess three or four numbers correctly?" or "What if the other party really holds out until the seventh round?", then he would retreat, he would avoid... and in the end, he would lose.

The devils on the gambling table will not respond to the demands of the weak. On the contrary, they will devour those people...

Retreating, evading, giving up thinking, and instead praying and begging in the heart, these behaviors will only lead to failure and destruction.

The person who can win is the one who is sure at that moment - "I will definitely guess more than 5 numbers," he might die if he can't guess, and death... doesn't matter.

Only this kind of will can guide "fortune" and summon "victory."

...

"Ah... sure enough..."

Round twelve, first move, the unknown card flipped by Feng Bujue... was a "one-suit known" card.

At this moment, he had two choices: the first, more stable approach, to give up continuing to flip new cards, turn back to flip two known cards, and end his round. In this way, he only added one pair of known pairs to the opponent and reduced one unknown card. When it was Hei Hudie's turn to attack, the probability of flipping a score-able card on the first move was three out of twenty-seven, about 11%.

The other, more risky approach, was to flip another unknown card. If the second card he flipped had the same suit as the first card, he could score.

So... what was the success rate of doing this? What were the risks of failure?

Through the known cards, it can be calculated that of the 27 unknown cards at this moment, 22 cards are pairs, that is, "one-suit known" cards, 3 cards are "two-suit known" cards, and 2 cards are hell cards.

If Feng Bujue wanted to score, he had to flip out the "Foot Heel Guangping Suit" that he flipped in the first move of this round, and the probability was only about 3%; if he couldn't flip it, he would face three possibilities...

First, he had an 81% chance of flipping a "one-suit known" card, creating another pair of known pairs for the opponent, increasing the probability that the opponent would flip a score-able card to over 15% next time.

Second, he had a 7% chance of flipping one of the other two "two-suit known" cards, giving the opponent a 100% scoring opportunity in the next round.

Third, also with a 7% chance, he would flip a hell card, and this... was already the best result, so the probability of the opponent drawing a score-able card would rise to 11.5%, not much of an increase.

In summary, no matter how you look at it, it was better to choose the stable approach here.

But...

"According to this trend, if I flip another one, it will probably be..." Feng Bujue muttered, while already flipping the second unknown card.

As a result, he flipped a "two-suit known" card.

Because he had already flipped two cards in this round, and they were different suits, it was impossible to score. Therefore, the card he flipped could basically be determined to become the opponent's score.

"Hmm... it seems that fortune is completely on your side," Feng Bujue looked indifferent to this worst result. "I believe you will get more than 6 points in the next round."

As he spoke, he flipped the third card before the opponent could respond.

Incredibly, he actually flipped another unknown card; this time, he flipped a "one-suit known" card, so another pair of known pairs appeared on the table.

"What on earth does this guy want to do..." Hei Hudie didn't understand, she pondered in her heart, "I can still understand the second move... a man as arrogant and narcissistic as him may indeed take a chance at this moment with a fluke mentality; but this third move... when it is impossible to score and almost certainly gives me more advantages, he still flips an unknown card?"

"Please..." The next second, Feng Bujue's voice interrupted Hei Hudie's thoughts. "I know what you're thinking... hehe... don't hesitate about things you can't understand. You should take the points you should take before your memory fades. If you make a mistake here... then it would be too easy for me to win."